The Seattle Seahawks (2-0) visit the Washington Commanders (0-2) on Sunday, Sept. 27 at 1 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium in Washington's home opener. Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win.
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When and where do the Seahawks play the Commanders in Week 3 of the 2026 season?
The Seahawks and Commanders kick off Sunday, Sept. 27 at 1 p.m. ET at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland, on FOX.
Who is favored to win the Seahawks vs. Commanders Week 3 game?
Seattle went 14-3 in 2025 under Mike Macdonald and beat New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX. The Seahawks opened their title defense 2-0 without Sam Darnold, who hurt his glute on the first drive of the season. Backup Drew Lock threw four touchdown passes in two games, and the defense has allowed a combined 17 points in wins over the Patriots and Cardinals, including a 31-7 win at Arizona in Week 2. Darnold is set to return Sunday for his first action since the opener. Safeties Julian Love and Ty Okada are out, with AJ Finley stepping in for Love, as of this writing.
Washington went 5-12 in an injury-filled 2025 and brought in new coordinators, with David Blough running the offense and Daronte Jones the defense. The Commanders lost 24-22 at Philadelphia in Week 1, then lost 37-20 at Dallas, where Jayden Daniels dislocated his left elbow on the final play of the first half. It is the same elbow he dislocated against Seattle in 2025, and he has been ruled out, though the team says he will not need surgery or injured reserve. Marcus Mariota will start. Washington has also ruled out guard Sam Cosmi, linebacker Frankie Luvu, tight end Chig Okonkwo, and safety Nick Cross, as of this writing.
Kalshi power rankings
The Seahawks enter as the No. 3 team in the league with a Power Score of 83.9, and Kalshi traders have them at 76% to qualify for the playoffs. The Commanders rank 29th with a Power Score of 14.0, and Kalshi traders have them at 9% to reach the postseason. That is a 26-spot gap heading into Sunday, after Seattle climbed two spots this week and Washington fell two.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win and the Commanders at 24%, as of this writing. That makes Seattle a clear road favorite against a Washington team missing its starting quarterback and several starters on defense.
What is the point spread for Seahawks vs. Commanders in Week 3?
Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 7.5 points at 51%, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders have over 40.5 total points at 47%, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Seahawks vs. Commanders Week 3 game?
It is the quarterback matchup. Darnold returns for Seattle after watching Lock win the first two games, while Daniels is out again with the same elbow injury that derailed Washington's 2025 season, one week before a rematch with the team he got hurt against in 2025. Mariota played well in relief at Dallas, but he now faces a Seahawks defense that has been the best part of the team, and Washington will be without Luvu, one of its defensive leaders.
What are the Seahawks' and Commanders' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Seattle Seahawks: The defending champions are trying to repeat after a franchise-record 14 regular-season wins. They went 2-0 without their starting quarterback, and now Darnold is back.
Washington Commanders: Washington reached the NFC Championship Game in 2024, then fell to 5-12 in 2025. Per ESPN, the franchise has started 0-2 nine times since the 1970 merger and made the playoffs only once after those starts.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders have Seattle at 76% against a Commanders team starting its backup quarterback. The swing factor is whether Mariota can generate enough offense against the Seahawks' defense to keep the home crowd in the game. Kalshi's prices for Seahawks vs. Commanders will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Seahawks vs. Commanders? Kalshi traders have over 40.5 total points at 47%, as of this writing.
What is the spread for Seahawks vs. Commanders? Kalshi traders have the Seahawks winning by more than 7.5 points at 51%, as of this writing.
Who is favored to win, the Seahawks or the Commanders? Kalshi traders have the Seahawks at 76% to win, as of this writing.
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