The Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears meet Sunday, September 20 at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago. Both teams enter 1-0. Kalshi traders have the Bears at 66% to win and the Vikings at 34%.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NFL.
Who is favored to win the Vikings-Bears Week 2 game?
Minnesota finished 9-8 in 2025 and missed the playoffs after starting 4-8, a sharp comedown from a 14-3 campaign the year before. The Vikings signed veteran quarterback Kyler Murray in free agency this offseason to compete with 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy, and Murray won the starting job. He has been ruled out for Sunday after entering the NFL's concussion protocol against Green Bay, and backup Carson Wentz will start in his place. The Vikings also placed running back Jordan Mason on injured reserve with a thumb injury, and linebacker Blake Cashman (wrist) and tackle Brian O'Neill (knee) are both limited in practice.
Chicago went 11-6 in Ben Johnson's first season as head coach in 2025, winning the NFC North for the first time since 2018 and picking up the franchise's first playoff win since 2010 before losing to the Rams in the divisional round. Quarterback Caleb Williams set the Bears' single-season passing record with 3,942 yards in that campaign, and the offense opened 2026 with a 59-37 win over Carolina that set an NFL record for combined points in a season opener. Running backs D'Andre Swift (ankle/knee) and Kyle Monangai (hamstring) are both banged up after Chicago ran for 291 yards and six touchdowns as a team in that win.
Kalshi power rankings
The Bears enter as the No. 8 team in the league with a Power Score of 76.5 and a 59% playoff qualification price, while the Vikings rank 11th with a Power Score of 64.7 and a 48% playoff price, a three-spot gap heading into this NFC North matchup.
What the Kalshi market says
Kalshi traders have the Bears at 66% and the Vikings at 34% as Chicago opens as a clear favorite at home.
What is the point spread for Vikings vs. Bears in Week 2?
Kalshi traders predict the Bears to be favored by 4.5 points over the Vikings, as of this writing.
What is the projected point total?
Kalshi traders predict a point total of 47.5 for Sunday's game, as of this writing.
What is the biggest storyline in the Vikings-Bears Week 2 game?
The sharpest storyline is at quarterback for Minnesota. Carson Wentz gets the start with Kyler Murray sidelined by concussion protocol, against a Bears team that enters as the reigning NFC North champion behind an in-form Caleb Williams.
What are the Vikings' and Bears' expectations entering the 2026 season?
Minnesota Vikings: After missing the playoffs at 9-8, the Vikings are betting on a competitive quarterback room led by newly signed veteran Kyler Murray. Minnesota opened 2026 with a 17-point win over Green Bay despite Murray's early exit.
Chicago Bears: After winning the NFC North and a playoff game in Ben Johnson's first season, the Bears are looking to build on that success in year two. Chicago opened 2026 with a lopsided win over Carolina behind Caleb Williams.
Conclusion
Kalshi traders see Chicago as the clear favorite in Sunday's NFC North matchup, with Minnesota starting backup Carson Wentz factoring into that price. Kalshi's prices for Vikings-Bears will keep moving until the game ends.
What are the score predictions for Vikings vs. Bears? As of this writing, Kalshi traders predict a point total of 47.5.
What is the spread for Vikings vs. Bears? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bears favored by 4.5 points.
Who is favored to win, Vikings or Bears? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bears favored at 66% to beat the Vikings.
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