Falcons vs. Packers odds: Green Bay priced at 70% as Penix returns for Atlanta

The Atlanta Falcons (0-2) visit the Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Lambeau Field on Thursday night, with kickoff set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. Kalshi traders have Green Bay’s chance of winning priced at 70%, as of this writing.

Green Bay beat the New York Jets 20-17 in overtime last week, while Atlanta arrives off a 34-3 home loss to Carolina. Neither team leads its division. The Packers sit fourth in the NFC North on tiebreakers at .500. The Falcons are tied at the bottom of the NFC South with Tampa Bay.

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Atlanta has edged up to 31% since the market opened Sept. 15, as Green Bay's price slipped from the low 70s. More than $13.6 million has traded on the game contract as of this writing. Through two games, the Falcons have yet to run a single play inside the red zone.

Atlanta ruled out defensive end Samson Ebukam with a hamstring injury and listed defensive back Billy Bowman Jr. as questionable in his return from a ruptured Achilles, per the team's final report. Backup quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is available after missing time with an oblique injury. Green Bay ruled out guard Aaron Banks and receiver Jayden Reed and listed defensive tackle Javon Hargrave as questionable.

Michael Penix Jr. makes his first appearance of 2026 after tearing his ACL last November. Cooper Rush and Jack Strand handled quarterback duties through two games. Penix carries a 4-8 record as a starter and a career 85.8 passer rating, and the injury was the third ACL tear of his career. Falcons coach Kevin Stefanski said the short-week game plan is built around concepts Penix is comfortable running.

Green Bay's offense has sputtered in its own right. The Packers managed 199 total yards and converted 1 of 9 third downs in the win at New York. Reed and tackle Zach Bako-Bewele left that game on back-to-back plays, and both missed practice this week.

Kalshi traders price Green Bay winning by over 4.5 points at 52%, as of this writing.

The market has over 43.5 combined points priced at 48%, as of this writing.

Green Bay is priced at 17% on Kalshi to win the NFC North Division, the lowest of the division's four teams as of this writing. No team in the division trades above 34%.

Atlanta is priced at 8% on Kalshi to win the NFC South Division, last in the division as of this writing. The division's leading price sits at 45%, well short of the 90% mark that would signal a closed race.

Kalshi markets now predict:

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