Bills vs. Vikings odds: Buffalo at 63% as Carson Wentz starts for Minnesota

Kalshi traders have the Buffalo Bills at 63% to win and the Minnesota Vikings at 37% in a Week 9 meeting of two 6-1 teams, with Carson Wentz set to start for Minnesota because Kyler Murray is out with a hamstring strain.

Buffalo is coming off a 36-10 win over Baltimore and leads the NFL in scoring, while Minnesota was the league's last undefeated team until a 19-15 loss at Detroit and has a defense that ranks first in points allowed and pressure rate, according to ClutchPoints.

The Vikings' offense ranks 30th in EPA per play, per the same source, the Bills have two offensive linemen listed as questionable, and Kalshi's power rankings put Buffalo six spots ahead of Minnesota.

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The Bills and Vikings kick off Monday, Nov. 9, at 8:15 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is 6-1 under first-year head coach Joe Brady and is coming off a 36-10 win over Baltimore on Nov. 1. Josh Allen is the starting quarterback and does not appear on the injury report. As of this writing, receiver Josh Palmer (hamstring) is out, left tackle Dion Dawkins (rib), guard Alec Anderson (ankle), defensive lineman Greg Gaines (calf), defensive back Jordan Hancock (hamstring) and receiver Tyrell Shavers (knee) are questionable, while receiver DJ Moore (shoulder) and tackle Spencer Brown (back) were limited Friday. Kalshi traders have the Bills at 63%, with the NFL's highest-scoring offense driving the price and offensive line health the main question.

Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota is 6-1 under head coach Kevin O'Connell and is coming off a 19-15 loss at Detroit on Nov. 1, its first defeat of the season. Wentz will make his 101st career start in place of Murray, whom O'Connell said is week-to-week with a hamstring strain, and Max Brosmer is the backup. As of this writing, Murray, receiver Jauan Jennings (calf) and running back Demond Claiborne (knee) are out, safeties Theo Jackson (quadriceps) and Jay Ward (knee) are questionable, and tackle Christian Darrisaw (shoulder) and cornerback Isaiah Rodgers (ankle) were full participants Friday with no game designation. Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 37%, with a defense that allows 13.3 points per game, the fewest in the league per ClutchPoints, and the home date holding the price up despite the quarterback change.

Buffalo enters as the No. 2 team in the league with a Power Score of 94.0 and a 96% playoff qualification price, while Minnesota ranks 8th with a Power Score of 74.2 and a 76% playoff price, a six-spot gap heading into the interconference matchup.

Kalshi traders have the Bills at 63% to win and the Vikings at 37%.

As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills winning by more than 3.5 points at 48%.

As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 44.5 total points at 53%.

The biggest storyline is Buffalo's offensive line against a Minnesota defense that leads the NFL in sack rate (10.96%) and pressure rate (45.8%), ClutchPoints reported. Allen has faced the third-fewest pressures in the league (74) and the seventh-fewest sacks (13), the Bills said, and he told the team's website that "there aren't any weaknesses" in the Vikings' defense. Dawkins and Anderson are questionable after not practicing Friday, and Brown was limited, which puts the line in focus for a team that leads the league in scoring.

Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is 6-1 and coming off the 36-10 win over Baltimore, and Kalshi traders have the Bills at 96% to make the playoffs. After Minnesota they visit the Jets on Nov. 15, host Miami on Nov. 22 and host Kansas City on Thanksgiving, Nov. 26.

Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota is 6-1 with a 16-10 win over Indianapolis on Oct. 25 before the loss at Detroit, and Kalshi traders have the Vikings at 76% to make the playoffs. After Buffalo they visit Green Bay on Nov. 15, play San Francisco in Mexico City on Nov. 22 and host Atlanta on Nov. 29.

Kalshi traders have Buffalo as the favorite at 63%, with the NFL's top-scoring offense facing a 6-1 Minnesota team that turns to Wentz with Murray out. The swing factor is whether Buffalo's offensive line, with Dawkins and Anderson questionable, can hold up against a Vikings defense that leads the league in pressure rate. Kalshi's prices for the Bills and Vikings will keep moving until the game ends.

What are the score predictions for Bills vs. Vikings in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the game finishing over 44.5 total points at 53%.

What is the spread for Bills vs. Vikings in Week 9? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills winning by more than 3.5 points at 48%.

Who is favored to win, Bills or Vikings? As of this writing, Kalshi traders have the Bills at 63% to win and the Vikings at 37%.

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