The Chicago Cubs (61-46) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (53-54) at Busch Stadium on Wednesday at 7:45 p.m. ET, game three of a four-game series. Kalshi's market has St. Louis at 51% and Chicago at 49%, as of this writing.
Chicago sits second in the NL Central and holds a Wild Card spot, while St. Louis has lost three straight and sits fourth in the division.
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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: July 29, 2026
Kalshi traders have the Cardinals with a slight edge despite the losing streak, a number that leans on the pitching matchup more than recent form.
Injury-wise, the Cubs are missing left-hander Justin Steele, on the 60-day injured list with an elbow issue, and right-hander Ben Brown, on the 15-day list with a neck injury. The Cardinals are down reliever JoJo Romero, on the 15-day list following an appendectomy, and infielder Ramón Urías, on the 60-day list with an elbow injury, per Bleacher Nation.
Matthew Boyd takes the mound for Chicago at 6-1 with a 3.81 ERA, opposite Dustin May for St. Louis at 5-7 with a 4.59 ERA, per Bleacher Nation.
Chicago is coming off a 10-2 rout of the Cardinals on Tuesday and carries a 2.97 ERA over its last 10 games, while St. Louis has slid to a 5.04 ERA across the same stretch, per Bleacher Nation.
The NL Central race
Milwaukee has largely pulled away, but Chicago isn't dead yet. Traders give the Brewers 85% to win the division, with the Cubs at 13% and the Cardinals at less than 1%.
The bigger picture: NL MVP odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong takes his spot in the Cubs' lineup tonight as a surging NL MVP contender. Kalshi now prices him at 38%, up over 20 points recently, as Shohei Ohtani's number has slipped to 64%.
Kalshi markets now predict:
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