The Eurovision Song Contest's grand final airs today at 3 p.m. Eastern, and traders are predicting that Finland will win the top prize.
The market for the song contest puts Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen in the lead at 47%, followed by Australia's Delta Goodrem at 25%, and Greece's Akylas at 8%.
The Televote
The results look a little different when it comes to predicting the outcome of the song contest's televote.
Israel's Noam Bettan leads on the televote market at 54%, followed by Finland's Lampenius and Parkkonen at 15%.
The Jury Vote
Eurovision's jury vote market also has some different results.
Australia's Goodrem leads the jury vote prediction market at 57%, followed by Finland's Lampenius and Parkkonen at 23%.
The contenders
Finland has dominated the market for most of the contest, but there are some serious contenders who could challenge Lampenius and Parkkonen.
BBC Music Correspondent Mark Savage says of all the finalists, Australia's Goodrem is "one to watch."
"Her odds have been shortening all week – and her song, a classic ballad in the Celine Dion style, is guaranteed to appeal to both the public vote and the juries of professional songwriters, who each account for half of the score," Savage wrote.
Savage also thinks Israel's Bettan has a good chance of winning the public vote, but not because of the performances.
"There's also a possibility that Israel will romp home in the public vote, something that's become a pattern and a bone of contention in recent years – with some countries accusing the Israeli government of trying to influence the result through expensive advertising campaigns."
The final will air at 9 p.m. Central European time (3 p.m. Eastern/12 p.m. Pacific) on Peacock and the Eurovision YouTube channel.
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now predict:
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