The Seattle Mariners (52-55) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (67-39) at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET, the opener of a three-game series. Kalshi's market has the Dodgers priced at 69% and the Mariners at 32%.
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Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: July 28, 2026.
Los Angeles carries the best record in baseball into the matchup, while Seattle sits three games under .500 but remains within striking distance in a tightly bunched AL West race.
Both sides are dealing with injuries. The Dodgers are without catcher Will Smith, on the 60-day injured list with a neck injury, and left-hander Blake Snell, also on the 60-day list with an elbow injury, per Bleacher Nation. The Mariners are missing infielder Brendan Donovan, on the 10-day injured list with a groin injury, and reliever Matt Brash, on the 15-day list with a lat injury.
Justin Wrobleski takes the mound for the Dodgers in his 17th start of the season, carrying an 11-2 record with a 2.62 ERA. His last outing was six and a third innings against Philadelphia, allowing one run. Opposite him, Luis Castillo makes his 17th start for the Mariners at 3-9 with a 4.85 ERA, coming off seven innings against Cincinnati last Wednesday in which he allowed three earned runs. Castillo has fared well against Los Angeles specifically in his career, going 3-0 with a 2.83 ERA in prior meetings.
Over their last 10 games, the Dodgers are batting .231 with 7.7 hits per game and a 3.72 team ERA. The Mariners have batted .238 with 7.9 hits per game over the same stretch, and their pitching staff carries a 4.40 ERA, per Bleacher Nation.
The AL West race
This one has real stakes for the visiting side. Traders give Texas a 50% chance to win the AL West, with Seattle close behind at 36% and Houston still in the mix, a genuine three-team race with more than two months left to play.
The bigger picture: NL MVP odds
Shohei Ohtani takes his spot in the Dodgers' lineup tonight still holding the inside track on a fifth career MVP award. Kalshi traders price him at 56% to win NL MVP, with the Cubs' Pete Crow-Armstrong the nearest competitor at 41%.
Kalshi markets now predict:
With Seattle chasing a real division race and Ohtani building his MVP case from his usual leadoff spot, expect the price to move as final lineups are posted.
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