The Philadelphia Phillies (64-56) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (59-60) today at Busch Stadium for the second game of their series, with first pitch at 7:45 p.m. ET. Kalshi traders have the Phillies priced at 61% and the Cardinals at 40%, as of this writing.
Philadelphia enters today second in the NL East, 8.5 games behind Atlanta and holding the final National League Wild Card spot in a tie with Arizona, with San Diego a game back. St. Louis sits 15 games out of first in the NL Central and well out of playoff position, having sold off pieces including Dustin May and Lars Nootbaar at the trade deadline.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Aug. 11, 2026
Kalshi traders are leaning on Sánchez's dominant season to offset St. Louis playing at home. The left-hander carries the best ERA in the Phillies rotation and gives Philadelphia a clear mound edge, even against a Cardinals staff that has kept them competitive despite a lost season.
Philadelphia dealt with lineup shuffling Monday, with Trea Turner (lower-half soreness) and Bryce Harper (knee soreness) both out of their usual spots, though Turner is expected back in the lineup today. Right-hander Brad Keller remains out for the season after UCL reconstruction surgery, with a return timeline into late 2027. St. Louis is missing infielder Ramón Urías, rehabbing a 60-day-IL elbow injury, and right-hander Max Rajcic, out after UCL reconstruction surgery.
Sánchez carries a 15-4 record, 2.65 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season, opposite Pallante, who is 12-6 with a 3.63 ERA over 90 strikeouts.
Philadelphia carried a 6-4 record over its previous 10 games into this series, then opened it by beating St. Louis 6-5 Monday, with Andrew Painter working 5.1 no-hit innings before tiring, Edmundo Sosa driving in three runs, and Jonathan Bowlan closing it out for his first career save. St. Louis had won its last game before the series, 7-4 over Colorado, but is now 59-60 after Monday's loss.
NL East Odds
Kalshi traders have Atlanta at 88% to win the National League East, with Philadelphia at 10%. Miami, New York and Washington are all under 1%. It is a genuine two-team race on paper, even as Atlanta extends its lead this week, and Philadelphia's path back runs through closing that gap rather than the Wild Card cushion it already has.
Postseason Odds
Kalshi traders have Philadelphia at 79% to make the playoffs, well clear of Arizona at 57%, with the Chicago White Sox (68%) and Houston (63%) both climbing behind it. The postseason math is far more comfortable for Philadelphia than the division race above it.
Kalshi markets now predict:
Philadelphia is favored at 61% today after taking the series opener, and while the Wild Card math is squarely in the Phillies' favor at 79%, Atlanta's growing lead in the NL East means the division itself remains a long shot.
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