Survivor 49 winner Savannah Louie could be Survivor 50’s newest loser, according to one Kalshi market.
Traders priced Louie’s departure from tonight’s second episode at 97%, far ahead of the other competitors. Season 32 runner-up Aubry Bracco and Season 37 runner-up Mike White sit in a distant second at 1% each.
(Click here for all of this week’s Survivor 50 markets.)
Louie had a successful run in the first episode of the new season, according to USA Today’s episode recap. She defeated Season 2 competitor Colby Donaldson in a journey competition, winning a block-a-vote advantage that she chose not to share with her tribe. That decision may have cost her the support she needs to survive tonight’s Tribal Council.
What else can we expect from tonight’s episode?
The market for what host Jeff Probst will say during the second episode could provide some insight. Traders priced the words “fire” at 38%, “trust” at 34%, and “alliance” at 32%.
The term “Immunity Idol” is down to 29% and falling.
Who’s expected to win the season?
Bracco continues to be the traders’ pick for the winner of the 50th season at 87%. Traders also picked Bracco as their favorite before the first episode of the new season.
Cirie Fields, a four-time competitor who first appeared on Survivor during its 12th season in Panama on Exile Island, is priced second on the market at 5%. Season 42’s Jonathan Young is third at 4%.
The takeaway:
Kalshi traders now predict
The second episode of Survivor Season 50 airs tonight at 8 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.
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