The No. 1 Texas Longhorns (3-0) visit the No. 14 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville on Saturday, with kickoff set for noon ET on ABC. Kalshi traders have Texas priced at 64% to win, as of this writing.

The game opens SEC play for both teams and is the first regular-season meeting between the programs, whose three previous games were all played at the Cotton Bowl, most recently in 1969. Texas arrives two weeks removed from a 24-23 comeback win over Ohio State.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. See full disclaimer below. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA.

Snapshot

  • Matchup: Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Volunteers

  • Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026, 12 p.m. ET

  • Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tenn.

  • Watch: ABC

  • Kalshi traders' current number: 64% Texas / 36% Tennessee (as of this writing)

Texas vs. Tennessee, Saturday, September 26, 2026

Tennessee is priced at 36% at home, down a point in the latest trading, with more than $1.3 million traded on the game contract as of this writing.

Tennessee will be without safety Dylan Lewis, who hurt his foot against Kennesaw State, along with safety Edrees Farooq and tight end Ethan Davis, both lost for the season, per Friday's availability report. Running back DeSean Bishop is not on the report after leaving last week's game as a precaution. Texas running back Hollywood Smothers, the team's leading rusher, was upgraded to probable Friday night after two days as questionable. The Longhorns ruled out defensive lineman Justus Terry, defensive back Xavier Filsaime and offensive lineman Jordan Coleman.

Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons left the UTSA win early with a foot injury and was seen in a walking boot on the sideline. Coach Steve Sarkisian called the move precautionary, and Simmons was removed from the availability report after an initial probable listing.

Tennessee quarterback Faizon Brandon has thrown for 552 yards through three games. Texas has leaned on Arch Manning and Auburn transfer receiver Cam Coleman to stretch defenses.

Margin of Victory

Kalshi traders price Texas winning by over 4.5 points at 52%, as of this writing.

Point Total

The market has over 54.5 combined points priced at 51%, as of this writing.

College Football Playoff National Championship odds

Texas is priced at 15% on Kalshi to win the College Football Playoff National Championship, the top price on the board as of this writing. Tennessee trades at 2%.

SEC Championship odds

Texas is priced at 26% on Kalshi to win the SEC Championship, second on the conference board behind Georgia as of this writing. Tennessee trades at 5%.

Kalshi markets now predict:

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