Who won the 2026 Ohio governor race?

Kalshi projected Democrat Amy Acton to win the 2026 Ohio governor race, defeating Republican Vivek Ramaswamy. It is the first Democratic win in Ohio since Ted Strickland in 2006. Kalshi traders priced Acton at 99% at the time of projection.

What were the odds for the 2026 Ohio governor race on Kalshi?

Kalshi traders priced Amy Acton at 99% to win the 2026 Ohio governor race, up from 83% when polls closed on Election Day.

How did Acton's Kalshi price move before the election?

Acton surged 14 points in a month to 68% by October 14, 2026, then climbed to 81% on October 22, 2026, after Ramaswamy's ad featuring Acton's estranged mother drew bipartisan criticism. She held near 80% through Election Day.

When was the last time a Democrat won the Ohio governorship?

The last Democratic governor of Ohio before 2026 was Ted Strickland, who won in 2006. Acton's projected win ends a nearly two-decade Republican hold on the governorship.

Amy Acton wins Ohio governor race: Kalshi projection

Q: Who did Amy Acton run against in the 2026 Ohio governor race?

Amy Acton, Ohio's former state health director, faced Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, an entrepreneur and 2024 presidential candidate, in the 2026 Ohio governor race. The seat was left open by term-limited Gov. Mike DeWine.

Kalshi projects Amy Acton (D) will win the 2026 Ohio governor race, defeating Vivek Ramaswamy (R). Traders on Kalshi priced Acton's chances at 99%, up from 83% when polls closed. The win flips a Republican-held governorship, the first Democratic win in Ohio since Ted Strickland in 2006.

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How the market moved

Kalshi's Ohio governor market, through Nov 3, 2026: Acton gained 14 points in the month before Oct 14, 2026, and Acton was at 99% at projection.

Acton, the former state health director, ran against Ramaswamy, the entrepreneur and 2024 presidential candidate, for the seat term-limited Gov. Mike DeWine is leaving.

Oct 14, 2026: Acton surged 14 points in a month to 68% as polls showed her narrowly ahead
Oct 22, 2026: Acton climbed to 81% and Ramaswamy hit an all-time low of 19% after his ad featuring Acton's estranged mother drew bipartisan criticism
Oct 27, 2026: Ramaswamy stayed near his low after Obama rallied with Acton and Sherrod Brown in Cleveland
Nov 3, 2026: Acton held at 80% as final polls ranged from a tie to an 8-point Acton lead

Final polls were split: Emerson had the race tied at 48%, while AtlasIntel had Acton up 52% to 44% and an Oct 20, 2026 Marist poll had her up 50% to 43%.

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